Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 8.812289 10.055537 11.417562 13.021458 14.859909 16.903004 19.348078
2025-12-28 7.321421 8.996757 10.976093 13.491105 16.607908 20.351789 25.202685
2026-01-04 6.403484 8.292549 10.647206 13.805890 17.945429 23.203930 30.420226
2026-01-11 5.802707 7.846329 10.508727 14.244355 19.372766 26.198501 36.027142
2026-01-18 5.072550 7.116703 9.882297 13.915154 19.677246 27.661142 39.646198
2026-01-25 4.517285 6.549817 9.394108 13.687493 20.046025 29.181424 43.420855
2026-02-01 4.060932 6.067017 8.961882 13.471518 20.373182 30.623693 47.163430
2026-02-08 3.673290 5.641257 8.562697 13.248243 20.640438 31.963060 50.830073
2026-02-15 3.340617 5.263655 8.194714 13.025275 20.866032 33.227548 54.457787
2026-02-22 3.224311 5.208997 8.312877 13.566058 22.333530 36.553252 61.711696
2026-03-01 3.049036 5.041939 8.234388 13.773399 23.262078 39.065897 67.819419
2026-03-08 2.839763 4.799493 8.010253 13.712591 23.723619 40.820241 72.757809
2026-03-15 2.633099 4.547039 7.753222 13.580397 24.062164 42.412968 77.604806
2026-03-22 2.550941 4.501257 7.842017 14.056313 25.511193 46.074371 86.568479
2026-03-29 2.451149 4.414911 7.850880 14.385357 26.715275 49.386364 95.181317
2026-04-05 2.378514 4.370487 7.928565 14.842887 28.190634 53.315295 105.346524
2026-04-12 2.197183 4.111242 7.595006 14.499354 28.108234 54.279007 109.726832
2026-04-19 2.046758 3.897950 7.329456 14.261789 28.206193 55.589214 114.914828
2026-04-26 1.911040 3.702125 7.081479 14.036422 28.304816 56.899649 120.211422
2026-05-03 1.785860 3.517193 6.840221 13.803444 28.364690 58.128658 125.437314
2026-05-10 1.670988 3.344004 6.608861 13.570793 28.402577 59.308158 130.654255
2026-05-17 1.651767 3.361818 6.757991 14.135072 30.163896 64.251937 144.687219
2026-05-24 1.596418 3.301185 6.743235 14.351431 31.192630 67.705374 155.667093